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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-03-30T12:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5046/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-04-02T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
Prediction Method Note:
Multiple CMEs have been detected as follows:
1: C-type CME detected by STEREO B / STEREO A. 

Start time of the event: 2014-03-29T18:39Z.

Estimated speed: ~707 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 46 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 36/34 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates (see [1] in Notes).

Activity ID: 2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001

2: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / STEREO B / SOHO. 

Start time of the event: 2014-03-30T12:24Z.

Estimated speed: ~437 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 31 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 38/44 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001

3: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / STEREO B / SOHO. 

Start time of the event: 2014-03-30T13:48Z.

Estimated speed: ~453 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 22 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): -69/35 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2014-03-30T13:48:00-CME-001
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Flank impact near Earth around 2014-04-02T00:00Z.

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Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME(s): 2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001, 2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001, 2014-03-30T13:48:00-CME-001):

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Lead Time: 31.28 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-03-31T16:43Z
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