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Prediction for CME (2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2014-03-30T12:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5046/-1 CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-04-02T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Prediction Method Note: Multiple CMEs have been detected as follows: 1: C-type CME detected by STEREO B / STEREO A. Start time of the event: 2014-03-29T18:39Z. Estimated speed: ~707 km/s. Estimated opening half-angle: 46 deg. Direction (lon./lat.): 36/34 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates (see [1] in Notes). Activity ID: 2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001 2: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / STEREO B / SOHO. Start time of the event: 2014-03-30T12:24Z. Estimated speed: ~437 km/s. Estimated opening half-angle: 31 deg. Direction (lon./lat.): 38/44 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates. Activity ID: 2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001 3: S-type CME detected by STEREO A / STEREO B / SOHO. Start time of the event: 2014-03-30T13:48Z. Estimated speed: ~453 km/s. Estimated opening half-angle: 22 deg. Direction (lon./lat.): -69/35 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates. Activity ID: 2014-03-30T13:48:00-CME-001 -- Flank impact near Earth around 2014-04-02T00:00Z. -- Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME(s): 2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001, 2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001, 2014-03-30T13:48:00-CME-001): http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20140329_230300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gifLead Time: 31.28 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-03-31T16:43Z |
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